Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.240428 0.271505 0.304485 0.342029 0.383521 0.427910 0.478925
2025-08-17 0.196228 0.237685 0.284317 0.340440 0.405922 0.479671 0.568767
2025-08-24 0.165414 0.212953 0.269176 0.340109 0.426704 0.528443 0.656434
2025-08-31 0.141775 0.192843 0.256011 0.339097 0.444608 0.573162 0.740553
2025-09-07 0.126487 0.180738 0.250574 0.345852 0.471059 0.628447 0.839469
2025-09-14 0.111683 0.167192 0.241372 0.346070 0.488051 0.671664 0.924430
2025-09-21 0.099542 0.155672 0.233345 0.346460 0.504325 0.713797 1.009081
2025-09-28 0.089397 0.145712 0.226240 0.346987 0.520033 0.755120 1.093742
2025-10-05 0.082052 0.138978 0.222882 0.352095 0.541785 0.805007 1.191549
2025-10-12 0.076763 0.134741 0.222621 0.361309 0.569413 0.863775 1.303608
2025-10-19 0.070679 0.128565 0.218779 0.364625 0.588213 0.910427 1.400028
2025-10-26 0.066168 0.124449 0.217661 0.371757 0.612690 0.965867 1.510769
2025-11-02 0.062388 0.121381 0.218230 0.381954 0.643004 1.032173 1.641693
2025-11-09 0.056580 0.114199 0.211495 0.379957 0.654218 1.070432 1.732698
2025-11-16 0.051676 0.108097 0.206003 0.379462 0.667527 1.112140 1.830232
2025-11-23 0.047180 0.102251 0.200413 0.378280 0.679426 1.151881 1.925975
2025-11-30 0.044472 0.099497 0.199962 0.385668 0.705492 1.214494 2.058998
2025-12-07 0.040968 0.094802 0.195610 0.385889 0.719455 1.258275 2.163907
2025-12-14 0.037828 0.090491 0.191581 0.386307 0.733577 1.302608 2.270964
2025-12-21 0.035002 0.086515 0.187826 0.386880 0.747816 1.347444 2.380101
2025-12-28 0.033020 0.084121 0.186890 0.392490 0.770968 1.407622 2.515886
2026-01-04 0.031691 0.083012 0.188356 0.402610 0.802457 1.482672 2.678275
2026-01-11 0.029768 0.080357 0.186510 0.406252 0.822366 1.538764 2.810916